The Gaming Den Forum Index The Gaming Den
Welcome to the Gaming Den.
 
 FAQFAQ   SearchSearch   MemberlistMemberlist   UsergroupsUsergroups   RegisterRegister 
 ProfileProfile   Log in to check your private messagesLog in to check your private messages   Log inLog in 

Google
 Search WWW   Search tgdmb.com 
[Non-US] News That Makes You laugh/cry/neither...
Goto page Previous  1, 2, 3 ... , 118, 119, 120  Next
 
Post new topic   Reply to topic    The Gaming Den Forum Index -> MPSIMS
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
Stahlseele
King


Joined: 14 Apr 2010
Posts: 5009
Location: Hamburg, Germany

PostPosted: Wed Nov 15, 2017 4:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Duly noted.
_________________
Welcome, to IronHell.
Click here to see the hidden message (It might contain spoilers)
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
deaddmwalking
Duke


Joined: 21 May 2012
Posts: 1620

PostPosted: Wed Nov 15, 2017 5:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Koumei wrote:
Mind you, given how said polls told us that Brexit wasn't going ahead and Trump also wasn't going to be a thing and for that matter that RMoney was going to beat Obama, they probably DO have a margin of error of something in the 60-70 range.


That's not really true. We want to believe that 70% probability means it is certain, but it really just means that 7 out of 10 times, it happens. That's still 3 times it doesn't. I'm pretty sure that if we ran Trump's election 3 times (and people knew how it went each time) he would have lost the other two. I think that people were confident enough in a Clinton victory that they overcompensated the other way - especially in trying to create a divided government.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Voss
Prince


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 3814

PostPosted: Wed Nov 15, 2017 5:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Koumei wrote:
Mind you, given how said polls told us that Brexit wasn't going ahead and Trump also wasn't going to be a thing and for that matter that RMoney was going to beat Obama, they probably DO have a margin of error of something in the 60-70 range.

Not really. Both of those votes were absurdly close- 2.1% more for Hillary, 3.7% for Brexit.
A 5% margin of error on the polls covers both of those results.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Pixels
Knight


Joined: 14 Jun 2010
Posts: 396

PostPosted: Wed Nov 15, 2017 5:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

In one of 538's recent podcasts, Nate Silver commented that he disliked telling people the odds when one side is in the ballpark of 85% likely. Their eyes see 85% and their brain thinks it's a sure thing, and that's intensely frustrating because it really really isn't.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
deaddmwalking
Duke


Joined: 21 May 2012
Posts: 1620

PostPosted: Wed Nov 15, 2017 7:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

My bosses forecast anything we call 70%+ as a sale. And that's crazy! They should forecast 70% of it (at best) but if you have three opportunities at 70% (say $100k, $50k, and $10k) odds are that you'll close two of them. If they count all three as 'sure things' you'd forecast $160k in revenue; if you forcecast at 70% you'd forcase $112k - but assuming you're equally likely to close 2 out of the three your real number is going to be either $150k; $110k; or $60k. Better hope you close the big one!
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Koumei
Serious Badass


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 12794
Location: South Ausfailia

PostPosted: Thu Nov 16, 2017 2:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

deaddmwalking wrote:
Koumei wrote:
Mind you, given how said polls told us that Brexit wasn't going ahead and Trump also wasn't going to be a thing and for that matter that RMoney was going to beat Obama, they probably DO have a margin of error of something in the 60-70 range.


That's not really true. We want to believe that 70% probability means it is certain, but it really just means that 7 out of 10 times, it happens. That's still 3 times it doesn't. I'm pretty sure that if we ran Trump's election 3 times (and people knew how it went each time) he would have lost the other two. I think that people were confident enough in a Clinton victory that they overcompensated the other way - especially in trying to create a divided government.


Pretty sure these weren't "I predict a 52% chance of X (but when I roll the percentile, we leave it in the hands of the cosmic RNG)" but were "52% of people indicated they were voting for X and as such, the further the results stray from this 52%, the worse my prediction is." Now yes, they were close enough that an acceptable margin of error is indeed "the results are flipped", but that doesn't reflect well on polls when their stats differ just enough from the final results as to not predict things.
_________________
Count Arioch the 28th wrote:
There is NOTHING better than lesbians. Lesbians make everything better.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Voss
Prince


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 3814

PostPosted: Thu Nov 16, 2017 4:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

So Zimbabwe seems to be suffering from Heisenberg's Uncertainty Coup.

Sure, the military has taken over and imprisoned the leader of the country, but apparently it can't officially be called a coup yet.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-42004816
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Josh_Kablack
Prince


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 4983
Location: Online. duh

PostPosted: Sun Nov 19, 2017 5:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

The Mad Katter has gone viral:

http://www.news.com.au/entertainment/tv/current-affairs/abc-hosts-lose-it-over-bob-katters-bizarre-marriage-rant/news-story/ab0840f6d8f7a6c41bf1ff12ba4f9a5f
_________________
Johnson - Hanks 2020
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message AIM Address Yahoo Messenger MSN Messenger
Ancient History
Invincible Overlord


Joined: 18 Aug 2010
Posts: 11359

PostPosted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 3:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

https://grapevine.is/news/2017/11/20/we-dont-know-how-to-feel-about-icelands-miss-universe-costume/
_________________
The Unpublishable - Updates Fridays between midnight and midnight | http://wikithulhu.com
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
FrankTrollman
Serious Badass


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 27148

PostPosted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 4:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Just found out that my local water company openly admits to having sorcerers on staff.

Dowsing in 2017.

-Frank
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
deaddmwalking
Duke


Joined: 21 May 2012
Posts: 1620

PostPosted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 5:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Obviously magic isn't real, but if she's better than blind luck and claims it's due to magic that doesn't necessarily mean that you can't use her. Wasn't there a detective series where the guy pretended to be a psychic but he was just a normal detective - it was just a schtick to avoid making police feel like they were doing their job poorly?
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
hyzmarca
Prince


Joined: 14 Mar 2011
Posts: 3448

PostPosted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 6:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

deaddmwalking wrote:
Obviously magic isn't real, but if she's better than blind luck and claims it's due to magic that doesn't necessarily mean that you can't use her. Wasn't there a detective series where the guy pretended to be a psychic but he was just a normal detective - it was just a schtick to avoid making police feel like they were doing their job poorly?


Psyche.

He was trained to notice small detailed his entire life by his obsessive cop father. When he called the police and told them who committed a high profile crime, which he deduced only from clues that were shown on television, they assumed that he was an accomplice and wouldn't belive him when he claimed that he had extremely astute observational skills. Then he claimed to have psychic powers in order to avoid prison, and got a consultant job out of it.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Maj
Prince


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 4265
Location: Shelton, Washington, USA

PostPosted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 7:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Minor correction: Psych. Because he was being honest about fooling people.
_________________
My son makes me laugh. Maybe he'll make you laugh, too. Oh, hey! There's now a Minecraft Edition of GODzookery!
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
FrankTrollman
Serious Badass


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 27148

PostPosted: Tue Nov 21, 2017 9:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Here we go again.

Russia's denials are basically like Nixon's denials. When Nixon went on TV to deny that the US was bombing Cambodia, you knew that the US was bombing Cambodia. When Russia denies that there was a nuclear accident, you know there was a nuclear accident.

-Frank
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
erik
Prince


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 4932

PostPosted: Wed Nov 22, 2017 2:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

FrankTrollman wrote:
Just found out that my local water company openly admits to having sorcerers on staff.

Dowsing in 2017.


Man, they're gonna get in trouble for breaking the masquerade.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
hyzmarca
Prince


Joined: 14 Mar 2011
Posts: 3448

PostPosted: Wed Nov 22, 2017 3:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

erik wrote:
FrankTrollman wrote:
Just found out that my local water company openly admits to having sorcerers on staff.

Dowsing in 2017.


Man, they're gonna get in trouble for breaking the masquerade.


It's linear magic, so there's no paradox.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Koumei
Serious Badass


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 12794
Location: South Ausfailia

PostPosted: Wed Nov 22, 2017 5:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

FrankTrollman wrote:
When Russia denies that there was a nuclear accident, you know there was a nuclear accident.


To be fair, there might not have been an accident - Putin could have just had a whole heap of people he needed to assassinate.
_________________
Count Arioch the 28th wrote:
There is NOTHING better than lesbians. Lesbians make everything better.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Starmaker
Duke


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 2330
Location: Redmonton

PostPosted: Wed Nov 29, 2017 5:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

The Russian Orthodox Church and the Investigative Committee (the top prosecution office) have launched an investigation into whether the execution of the royal family in 1918 was a Jewish ritual blood sacrifice sealing the Bolsheviks' deal with Satan. (They're convinced it was.)
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
Voss
Prince


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 3814

PostPosted: Wed Nov 29, 2017 9:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

What in the actual fuck?
More details, please. That kind of insanity needs more information
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Pixels
Knight


Joined: 14 Jun 2010
Posts: 396

PostPosted: Wed Nov 29, 2017 10:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Telegraph article on the subject. Or more directly from the horse's mouth, an RT article.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
tussock
Prince


Joined: 07 Nov 2009
Posts: 2548
Location: Here

PostPosted: Thu Nov 30, 2017 9:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

So the government is reviewing the known history of the deaths based on the bodies having been recently recovered, and is pointedly not looking into the "jews did it" theory while doing so.

And thus a branch of the church has decided to check the "jews did it" theory anyway, by another name so as not to be saying that shit out loud, on account of them Bolsheviks are totally into funny shaped buildings, which is totally spooky. Church people are ultimately very credulous, in that they happily believe stupid shit without evidence.

D&D was, after all, totally a satanic ritual, amirite? ROFL
_________________
news://rec.games.frp.dnd
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Send e-mail
Longes
Prince


Joined: 04 Nov 2013
Posts: 2546

PostPosted: Thu Nov 30, 2017 9:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

This is actually the third time this investigation is happening, because ROC refuses to accept the results since they haven't been invited to participate in the investigation before. The first two times were in the 90s, when the USSR fell and it became possible to investigate the murder, and in 2007, when new remains were found.

Ritual murder theory is more or less Sympathetic Magic 101 with the idea that the evil bolshevik homojews killed the head of the state to destroy the state. It appeared among the monarchists almost immediately after the murder and has been bouncing around ever since. It is like the Kennedy Assassination of Russian conspiracy theorists (and some foreign ones) and crazy shit gets invented all the time. I don't much care what ROC is doing, but it's a shame that the investigative committee gets dragged into this.


Last edited by Longes on Thu Nov 30, 2017 9:51 am; edited 1 time in total
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Starmaker
Duke


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 2330
Location: Redmonton

PostPosted: Thu Nov 30, 2017 11:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

tussock wrote:
So the government is reviewing the known history of the deaths based on the bodies having been recently recovered, and is pointedly not looking into the "jews did it" theory while doing so.

The Investigative Committee is. Putin may be a run of the mill kleptocrat, but there are plenty of full-blown Nazis. Off the top of my head: Mikhalkov (the movie and copyright parasite), Yakunin (former railway boss), Rogozin (DoD / aerospace leech), Kolokoltsev (Minister of the Interior, chief cop), Milov (head of security), Tokarev of Transneft, a bunch of them in the parliament including Milonov the ex-ex-ex-ex-ex-ex-ex-gay and Poklonskaya the tsar's heavenly bride, a number of pet oligarchs, Belykh (the ex-governor of the Kirov region, currently under investigation), Tkachyov (the ex-governor of the Krasnodar region who turned it into a Nazi state over 15 years), Kirienko (vice-head of the Presidential Administration, oversees two Nazi paramilitary orgs), Utkin (leader of Putin's private army) and of course Bastrykin, head of the Investigative Committee.

The church has been a Nazi org since its post-Soviet revival. It has no power of its own and is fully and illegally funded with tax and extortion money, so everything the church does has been pre-approved by Putin.

tl;dr tussock, you're a fucking idiot as always.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message Visit poster's website
nockermensch
Duke


Joined: 06 Jan 2012
Posts: 1617
Location: Rio: the Janeiro

PostPosted: Thu Nov 30, 2017 3:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Starmaker wrote:
The Russian Orthodox Church and the Investigative Committee (the top prosecution office) have launched an investigation into whether the execution of the royal family in 1918 was a Jewish ritual blood sacrifice sealing the Bolsheviks' deal with Satan. (They're convinced it was.)

That's it, guys: They're onto us. Contact your demon handler for further instructions.

On a more serious and somber note, in this current political climate a full rehabilitation of Nazism is quickly becoming "a terryfing possibility" instead of "Stormfront's wildest pipe dream". I already had Internet fights against morons calling FDR "the President who almost destroyed USA with Communism" and it's despairing that this bullshit can simply become an accepted "alternative fact" in a few more years of this massacring of Truth. Here's a proposed timeline:

a) Communism is LITERALLY SATAN (being pushed right now, as demonstrated)
b) Therefore, Fascists are like modern crusaders
c) The allies were tainted by evil (Keynes in England, FDR in America, RussiaLITERAL SATAN)
d) Decades of post-war prosperity and progress brought by equalitarian politics erased from public consciousness thanks to people who were alive them dying.
e) We need Nazism back because Jews Muslims Jews!

Fuck this bullshit.
_________________
@ @ Nockermensch

Koumei wrote:
After all, in Firefox you keep tabs in your browser, but in SovietPutin's Russia, browser keeps tabs on you.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Voss
Prince


Joined: 07 Mar 2008
Posts: 3814

PostPosted: Thu Nov 30, 2017 11:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote Add User to Ignore List

Pixels wrote:
Telegraph article on the subject. Or more directly from the horse's mouth, an RT article.


Huh, thanks. That's both more and less weird than I expected.

It always gets me right here when churches are dismissing DNA evidence.
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic    The Gaming Den Forum Index -> MPSIMS All times are GMT
Goto page Previous  1, 2, 3 ... , 118, 119, 120  Next
Page 119 of 120

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum




Powered by phpBB © 2001, 2005 phpBB Group