PhoneLobster at [unixtime wrote:1153569967[/unixtime]]Even if the jewish voting block matters one jot in comparison to much larger blocks, like say unions, its still a mugs game being a mindless backer for Israel.
No matter where it gets your party, or not, in the short term in the long term Israel goes ballistic and whichever party is in power at the time when the US gets stiffed with a big pile of CONSEQUENCES is in the shit.
The thing is that as a politician you're wanting to stay in power today regardless of the possible consequences tomorrow. Politicians want the power, and the only way that they can keep it is to keep being re-elected. It's the old Milton addage, "I'd rather rule Hell than serve in Heaven."
Its like appealing to that insane voting base that wants the federal government to basically shut down and cease to exist. You can try and play to that nutter audience but ultimately the majority would get really really pissed off when the country ceases to function.
The thing is that it has to do with traditional voting bases. The Jewish vote has traditionally voted for Democrats, and with the Republicans trying to court this vote, the last thing the Democrats want to lose is this voting base. Guess which party usually holds the more liberal members ...
Hey, how else do you explain a 410-8 vote for Israel in the US House or Representatives? Not many measures carry that kind of overwhelming support, and I really doubt that there are 410 Conservative members in the US House of Representatives.
And like I said, Clinton did a lot reigning in Israel, apparently even Reagan managed to tell Israel to back off on bombing Beirut at least once. And did either of them sacrifice the jewish vote to do it?
The thing is that for their elections, they won with such comfortable margins that the Jewish vote wasn't as big of an impact. The 21st century is different. The last two presidential elections resulted in extra days of checking votes in battleground states. The last thing that either party wants to do is do anything that will alienate the Jewish vote figuring that they are based in New York and Florida. Both states hold a large amount of electorial votes.
Or did Clinton actually build support in the jewish community as he played a high profile role in bringing peace to the region? 'Cause as insular and fanatically murderous as many pro Israeli types are on the whole for the actual you know generally sane jewish community peace in Jerusalem must have played over pretty damn well.
Traditionally, when a President has been successful in pressuring Israel, it is usually on an issue like settlements on occupied lands. This is an issue where the Jewish community is divided pretty evenly, and thus the President can support the other side due to this division. As for being rocketed by Hamas and Hizbollah, having soldiers kidnapped, and Israel's existance, there really isn't a fragmented Jewish community on these issues.